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Penafiel vs Pacos Ferreira Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSun, 4 Jan 2026

Penafiel

WLWLL

Sun, 4 Jan 202612:00

1 : 2

Full time

Pacos Ferreira

DWLLD

Pre-match win probability

45%Penafiel29.5%Draw25.5%Pacos Ferreira

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Penafiel

Penafiel vs Pacos Ferreira listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence45%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Penafiel 45%
  • Draw 29.5%
  • Pacos Ferreira 25.5%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

PenafielPacos Ferreira

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X57%
X243%

Match result

Penafiel2.1
Draw3.2
Pacos Ferreira3.7

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance57%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43%
Odds1.7

Penafiel

Chance45%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance29.5%
Odds3.2

Pacos Ferreira

Chance25.5%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.28

PenafielPacos Ferreira
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall64%36%

Penafiel vs Pacos Ferreira: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sun, 4 Jan 2026

Penafiel meet Pacos Ferreira in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 4 January 2026 at 12:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penafiel at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Penafiel vs Pacos Ferreira FAQs

4 questions

What time is Penafiel vs Pacos Ferreira?

Kickoff is 12:00 on 4 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Penafiel vs Pacos Ferreira?

Penafiel is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 45%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Penafiel vs Pacos Ferreira prediction, H2H and stats