Get Premium

Penafiel vs Portimonense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSat, 17 Jan 2026

Penafiel

LWLWL

Sat, 17 Jan 202615:00

0 : 2

Full time

Portimonense

DWWLL

Pre-match win probability

41.5%Penafiel28.8%Draw29.7%Portimonense

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Penafiel

Penafiel vs Portimonense listed tip from the board.

Odds1.62
Confidence41.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Penafiel 41.5%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Portimonense 29.7%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

PenafielPortimonense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X54.9%
X245.1%

Match result

Penafiel2.15
Draw3.1
Portimonense3

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance54.9%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance45.1%
Odds1.62

Penafiel

Chance41.5%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.1

Portimonense

Chance29.7%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.62

PenafielPortimonense
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall58%42%

Penafiel vs Portimonense: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sat, 17 Jan 2026

Penafiel meet Portimonense in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 17 January 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penafiel at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Penafiel vs Portimonense FAQs

4 questions

What time is Penafiel vs Portimonense?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 17 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Penafiel vs Portimonense?

Penafiel is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Penafiel vs Portimonense prediction, H2H and stats