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Penarol vs Cerro Largo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSat, 1 Aug 2026

Penarol

Sat, 1 Aug 202622:30

3 : 0

Full time

Cerro Largo

Pre-match win probability

58.3%Penarol23.5%Draw18.3%Cerro Largo

Our prediction

Penarol

Penarol is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.57
Confidence58.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Penarol 58.3%
  • Draw 23.5%
  • Cerro Largo 18.3%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

PenarolCerro Largo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X66.3%
X233.7%

Match result

Penarol1.57
Draw3.9
Cerro Largo5

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance66.3%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance33.7%
Odds2.3

Penarol

Chance58.3%
Odds1.57

Draw

Chance23.5%
Odds3.9

Cerro Largo

Chance18.3%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Penarol at 1.57

PenarolCerro Largo
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall76%24%

Penarol vs Cerro Largo: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 1 Aug 2026

Penarol meet Cerro Largo in the Uruguay, Primera División on 1 August 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penarol at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Penarol vs Cerro Largo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Penarol vs Cerro Largo?

Kickoff is 22:30 on 1 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Penarol vs Cerro Largo?

Penarol is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Penarol vs Cerro Largo prediction, H2H and stats