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Penarol vs Corinthians Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL LibertadoresFri, 22 May 2026

Penarol

Fri, 22 May 202601:30

1 : 1

Full time

Corinthians

Pre-match win probability

39.1%Penarol32.4%Draw28.5%Corinthians

Our prediction

Penarol

Penarol is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.4
Confidence39.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Penarol 39.1%
  • Draw 32.4%
  • Corinthians 28.5%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Libertadores · highlighted side is stronger

PenarolCorinthians

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals20.9% · 1.123.9% · 6
1.5 goals14.9% · 1.5710.4% · 2.25
2.5 goals8.1% · 2.8816.8% · 1.4
3.5 goals3.9% · 620.9% · 1.12

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X53.5%
X246.5%

Match result

Penarol2.4
Draw2.9
Corinthians3.3

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance53.5%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance46.5%
Odds1.53

Penarol

Chance39.1%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance32.4%
Odds2.9

Corinthians

Chance28.5%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Penarol at 2.4

PenarolCorinthians
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall58%42%

Penarol vs Corinthians: prediction & preview

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · Fri, 22 May 2026

Penarol meet Corinthians in the World, CONMEBOL Libertadores on 22 May 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penarol at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.4, about 67.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Penarol vs Corinthians FAQs

4 questions

What time is Penarol vs Corinthians?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 22 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Penarol vs Corinthians?

Penarol is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.88 and under 2.5 is 1.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Penarol vs Corinthians prediction, H2H and stats