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Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera División - ClausuraSun, 2 Nov 2025

Penarol

Sun, 2 Nov 202523:00

2 : 1

Live

Defensor Sporting

Pre-match win probability

63.9%Penarol22.9%Draw13.1%Defensor Sporting

Our prediction

Home · Penarol

Penarol vs Defensor Sporting listed tip from the board.

Odds1.46
Confidence63.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Penarol 63.9%
  • Draw 22.9%
  • Defensor Sporting 13.1%

Season statistics

Primera División - Clausura · highlighted side is stronger

PenarolDefensor Sporting

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.022.7% · 8.3
1.5 goals18% · 1.277.3% · 3.14
2.5 goals11.9% · 1.9112.5% · 1.83
3.5 goals7.4% · 3.0817.8% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes44.5%
No55.5%

Double chance

1X70.4%
X229.6%

Match result

Penarol1.46
Draw4.07
Defensor Sporting7.11

Both teams to score

Yes44.5% · 2.07
No55.5% · 1.66

1X

Chance70.4%
Odds1.07

X2

Chance29.6%
Odds2.55

Penarol

Chance63.9%
Odds1.46

Draw

Chance22.9%
Odds4.07

Defensor Sporting

Chance13.1%
Odds7.11

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.46

PenarolDefensor Sporting
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall83%17%

Penarol vs Defensor Sporting: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División - Clausura · Sun, 2 Nov 2025

Penarol meet Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay, Primera División - Clausura on 2 November 2025 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penarol at 1.46. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 63.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.83, about 51.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.66.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Penarol vs Defensor Sporting FAQs

4 questions

What time is Penarol vs Defensor Sporting?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 2 November 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Penarol vs Defensor Sporting?

Penarol is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.46. The margin-adjusted share is about 63.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.83.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.07. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Penarol vs Defensor Sporting prediction, H2H and stats