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Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónMon, 23 Feb 2026

Penarol

LWDDD

Mon, 23 Feb 202600:30

2 : 1

Full time

Deportivo Maldonado

WWD

Pre-match win probability

60.7%Penarol24.9%Draw14.4%Deportivo Maldonado

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Penarol

Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado listed tip from the board.

Odds2.5
Confidence60.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Penarol 60.7%
  • Draw 24.9%
  • Deportivo Maldonado 14.4%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

PenarolDeportivo Maldonado

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X69.3%
X230.7%

Match result

Penarol1.48
Draw3.6
Deportivo Maldonado6.25

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance69.3%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance30.7%
Odds2.5

Penarol

Chance60.7%
Odds1.48

Draw

Chance24.9%
Odds3.6

Deportivo Maldonado

Chance14.4%
Odds6.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 2.5

PenarolDeportivo Maldonado
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall81%19%

Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Mon, 23 Feb 2026

Penarol meet Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay, Primera División on 23 February 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penarol at 1.48. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado FAQs

4 questions

What time is Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 23 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Penarol is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.48. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado prediction, H2H and stats