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Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónTue, 14 Apr 2026

Penarol

DWLWW

Tue, 14 Apr 202600:00

0 : 2

Full time

Liverpool Montevideo

LDDLD

Pre-match win probability

55.3%Penarol27.6%Draw17.1%Liverpool Montevideo

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Penarol

Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence55.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Penarol 55.3%
  • Draw 27.6%
  • Liverpool Montevideo 17.1%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

PenarolLiverpool Montevideo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.3% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X64.8%
X235.2%

Match result

Penarol1.62
Draw3.25
Liverpool Montevideo5.25

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance64.8%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance35.2%
Odds2.1

Penarol

Chance55.3%
Odds1.62

Draw

Chance27.6%
Odds3.25

Liverpool Montevideo

Chance17.1%
Odds5.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.14

PenarolLiverpool Montevideo
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall76%24%

Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Tue, 14 Apr 2026

Penarol meet Liverpool Montevideo in the Uruguay, Primera División on 14 April 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penarol at 1.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 14 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo?

Penarol is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction, H2H and stats