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Penarol vs Racing Montevideo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSun, 29 Mar 2026

Penarol

WWWDW

Sun, 29 Mar 202623:30

0 : 2

Live

Racing Montevideo

DWWWL

Pre-match win probability

56.3%Penarol26.5%Draw17.2%Racing Montevideo

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Penarol

Penarol vs Racing Montevideo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence56.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Penarol 56.3%
  • Draw 26.5%
  • Racing Montevideo 17.2%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

PenarolRacing Montevideo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.3% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X64.8%
X235.2%

Match result

Penarol1.6
Draw3.4
Racing Montevideo5.25

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance64.8%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance35.2%
Odds2.1

Penarol

Chance56.3%
Odds1.6

Draw

Chance26.5%
Odds3.4

Racing Montevideo

Chance17.2%
Odds5.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.14

PenarolRacing Montevideo
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall77%23%

Penarol vs Racing Montevideo: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sun, 29 Mar 2026

Penarol meet Racing Montevideo in the Uruguay, Primera División on 29 March 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penarol at 1.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Penarol vs Racing Montevideo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Penarol vs Racing Montevideo?

Kickoff is 23:30 on 29 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Penarol vs Racing Montevideo?

Penarol is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 56.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Penarol vs Racing Montevideo prediction, H2H and stats