Get Premium

Penarol vs Santa Fe Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · CONMEBOL LibertadoresThu, 28 May 2026

Penarol

WDWWD

Thu, 28 May 202601:30

0 : 1

Full time

Santa Fe

DWDWD

Pre-match win probability

59.6%Penarol25.1%Draw15.3%Santa Fe

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Penarol

Penarol vs Santa Fe listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence59.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Penarol 59.6%
  • Draw 25.1%
  • Santa Fe 15.3%

Season statistics

CONMEBOL Libertadores · highlighted side is stronger

PenarolSanta Fe

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes45.3%
No54.7%

Double chance

1X63.1%
X236.9%

Match result

Penarol1.6
Draw3.8
Santa Fe6.25

Both teams to score

Yes45.3% · 2.05
No54.7% · 1.7

1X

Chance63.1%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance36.9%
Odds2

Penarol

Chance59.6%
Odds1.6

Draw

Chance25.1%
Odds3.8

Santa Fe

Chance15.3%
Odds6.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.17

PenarolSanta Fe
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall80%20%

Penarol vs Santa Fe: prediction & preview

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · Thu, 28 May 2026

Penarol meet Santa Fe in the World, CONMEBOL Libertadores on 28 May 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penarol at 1.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Penarol vs Santa Fe FAQs

4 questions

What time is Penarol vs Santa Fe?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 28 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Penarol vs Santa Fe?

Penarol is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.05. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Penarol vs Santa Fe prediction, H2H and stats