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Perugia vs Livorno Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie C - Girone BMon, 27 Oct 2025

Perugia

Mon, 27 Oct 202520:30

2 : 0

Full time

Livorno

Pre-match win probability

43.1%Perugia28.8%Draw28.1%Livorno

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Perugia

Perugia vs Livorno listed tip from the board.

Odds1.59
Confidence43.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Perugia 43.1%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Livorno 28.1%

Season statistics

Serie C - Girone B · highlighted side is stronger

PerugiaLivorno

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.022.8% · 8.2
1.5 goals16.7% · 1.368.4% · 2.7
2.5 goals10.2% · 2.2414.4% · 1.58
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.219.8% · 1.15

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X55.8%
X244.2%

Match result

Perugia2.11
Draw3.16
Livorno3.24

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.92
No52% · 1.77

1X

Chance55.8%
Odds1.26

X2

Chance44.2%
Odds1.59

Perugia

Chance43.1%
Odds2.11

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.16

Livorno

Chance28.1%
Odds3.24

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.59

PerugiaLivorno
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall61%39%

Perugia vs Livorno: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie C - Girone B · Mon, 27 Oct 2025

Perugia meet Livorno in the Italy, Serie C - Girone B on 27 October 2025 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Perugia at 2.11. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.58, about 58.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.77.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Perugia vs Livorno FAQs

4 questions

What time is Perugia vs Livorno?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 27 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Perugia vs Livorno?

Perugia is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.11. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.24 and under 2.5 is 1.58.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.92. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Perugia vs Livorno prediction, H2H and stats