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Perugia vs Pontedera Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie C - Girone BMon, 9 Mar 2026

Perugia

WLDLW

Mon, 9 Mar 202620:30

2 : 1

Full time

Pontedera

LLWLD

Pre-match win probability

55.8%Perugia25.1%Draw19%Pontedera

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Perugia

Perugia vs Pontedera listed tip from the board.

Odds1.11
Confidence55.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Perugia 55.8%
  • Draw 25.1%
  • Pontedera 19%

Season statistics

Serie C - Girone B · highlighted side is stronger

PerugiaPontedera
Goals scored (avg)
–0.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–2.5

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Perugia0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Pontedera1W 1D 8L in last 10
    • 25 OctPontedera1 – 1OltrepòD
    • 18 OctCrema4 – 1PontederaL
    • 14 OctCoriano1 – 2PontederaW
    • 11 OctLentigione2 – 0PontederaL
    • 4 OctPontedera0 – 3Cittadella Vis ModenaL
    H2H
    Head to headPerugia 2W · 3D · Pontedera 1W · 2.8 goals a game
    • 2 NovPontedera2 – 2Perugia
    • 17 AugPerugia0 – 0Pontedera
    • 27 AprPerugia3 – 0Pontedera
    • 15 DecPontedera2 – 1Perugia
    • 27 JanPontedera2 – 3Perugia
    • 19 SeptPerugia1 – 1Pontedera

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
    1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
    2.5 goals11.1% · 2.113.8% · 1.7
    3.5 goals6.2% · 3.7518.7% · 1.25

    Both teams to score

    Yes44.3%
    No55.7%

    Double chance

    1X66%
    X234%

    Match result

    Perugia1.62
    Draw3.6
    Pontedera4.75

    Both teams to score

    Yes44.3% · 2.1
    No55.7% · 1.67

    1X

    Chance66%
    Odds1.11

    X2

    Chance34%
    Odds2.15

    Perugia

    Chance55.8%
    Odds1.62

    Draw

    Chance25.1%
    Odds3.6

    Pontedera

    Chance19%
    Odds4.75

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.11

    PerugiaPontedera
    Recent form20%80%
    Attack59%41%
    Defence67%33%
    Goals model59%41%
    Head-to-head58%42%
    Overall75%25%

    Trends

    Trend · Serie C - Girone B

    Pontedera scored 0.7 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Serie C - Girone B

    Pontedera conceded 2.5 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Serie C - Girone B

    Failed to score in 5 of those 10.

    Trend · Serie C - Girone B

    Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 10.

    Perugia vs Pontedera: prediction & preview

    Italy · Serie C - Girone B · Mon, 9 Mar 2026

    Perugia meet Pontedera in the Italy, Serie C - Girone B on 9 March 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Perugia at 1.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Perugia vs Pontedera FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Perugia vs Pontedera?

    Kickoff is 20:30 on 9 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Perugia vs Pontedera?

    Perugia is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.8%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

    Perugia vs Pontedera prediction, H2H and stats