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Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · Major League SoccerSun, 1 Mar 2026

Philadelphia Union

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Sun, 1 Mar 202622:30

1 : 2

Full time

New York City FC

DLLDW

Pre-match win probability

45.4%Philadelphia Union28.9%Draw25.8%New York City FC

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC listed tip from the board.

Odds1.7
Confidence45.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Philadelphia Union 45.4%
  • Draw 28.9%
  • New York City FC 25.8%

Season statistics

Major League Soccer · highlighted side is stronger

Philadelphia UnionNew York City FC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X57%
X243%

Match result

Philadelphia Union2.1
Draw3.3
New York City FC3.7

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance57%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43%
Odds1.7

Philadelphia Union

Chance45.4%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance28.9%
Odds3.3

New York City FC

Chance25.8%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.7

Philadelphia UnionNew York City FC
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall64%36%

Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC: prediction & preview

USA · Major League Soccer · Sun, 1 Mar 2026

Philadelphia Union meet New York City FC in the USA, Major League Soccer on 1 March 2026 at 22:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Philadelphia Union at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC FAQs

4 questions

What time is Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC?

Kickoff is 22:30 on 1 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC?

Philadelphia Union is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC prediction, H2H and stats