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Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · Major League SoccerThu, 23 Jul 2026

Philadelphia Union

Thu, 23 Jul 202600:30

3 : 1

Full time

New York Red Bulls

Pre-match win probability

56.9%Philadelphia Union22%Draw21.1%New York Red Bulls

Our prediction

Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.67
Confidence56.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Philadelphia Union 56.9%
  • Draw 22%
  • New York Red Bulls 21.1%

Season statistics

Major League Soccer · highlighted side is stronger

Philadelphia UnionNew York Red Bulls

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals21.1% · 1.123.9% · 6
2.5 goals16% · 1.489.1% · 2.6
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.114.2% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X64.6%
X235.4%

Match result

Philadelphia Union1.67
Draw4.33
New York Red Bulls4.5

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance64.6%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance35.4%
Odds2.15

Philadelphia Union

Chance56.9%
Odds1.67

Draw

Chance22%
Odds4.33

New York Red Bulls

Chance21.1%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Philadelphia Union at 1.67

Philadelphia UnionNew York Red Bulls
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall73%27%

Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls: prediction & preview

USA · Major League Soccer · Thu, 23 Jul 2026

Philadelphia Union meet New York Red Bulls in the USA, Major League Soccer on 23 July 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Philadelphia Union at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls FAQs

4 questions

What time is Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 23 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls?

Philadelphia Union is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 56.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.48 and under 2.5 is 2.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls prediction, H2H and stats