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Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipSun, 11 Oct 2026

Phoenix Rising

LLLWD

Sun, 11 Oct 202603:00

3 : 2

Full time

Las Vegas Lights

WLDWL

Pre-match win probability

50.7%Phoenix Rising24.7%Draw24.7%Las Vegas Lights

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Phoenix Rising

Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights listed tip from the board.

Odds1.83
Confidence50.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Phoenix Rising 50.7%
  • Draw 24.7%
  • Las Vegas Lights 24.7%

Season statistics

USL Championship · highlighted side is stronger

Phoenix RisingLas Vegas Lights

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.022.2% · 10.5
1.5 goals19.8% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals15.2% · 1.539.8% · 2.38
3.5 goals10.3% · 2.2514.8% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X60%
X240%

Match result

Phoenix Rising1.8
Draw3.7
Las Vegas Lights3.7

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance60%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance40%
Odds1.83

Phoenix Rising

Chance50.7%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance24.7%
Odds3.7

Las Vegas Lights

Chance24.7%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.83

Phoenix RisingLas Vegas Lights
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall67%33%

Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Phoenix Rising meet Las Vegas Lights in the USA, USL Championship on 11 October 2026 at 03:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Phoenix Rising at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights FAQs

4 questions

What time is Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights?

Kickoff is 03:00 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights?

Phoenix Rising is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights prediction, H2H and stats