Pistoiese vs Progresso Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Pistoiese

Sat, 28 Feb 202615:00

1 : 0

Full time

Progresso

Pre-match win probability

69.1%Pistoiese20.4%Draw10.4%Progresso

Our prediction

Pistoiese

Pistoiese is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.28
Confidence69.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pistoiese 69.1%
  • Draw 20.4%
  • Progresso 10.4%

Season statistics

Serie D - Girone D · highlighted side is stronger

PistoieseProgresso

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals47.4% · 252.6% · 1.8

Double chance

1X75.5%
X224.5%

Match result

Pistoiese1.28
Draw4.33
Progresso8.5

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance75.5%
Odds1.04

X2

Chance24.5%
Odds3.2

Pistoiese

Chance69.1%
Odds1.28

Draw

Chance20.4%
Odds4.33

Progresso

Chance10.4%
Odds8.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Pistoiese at 1.28

PistoieseProgresso
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall87%13%

Pistoiese vs Progresso: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie D - Girone D · Sat, 28 Feb 2026

Pistoiese meet Progresso in the Italy, Serie D - Girone D on 28 February 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Pistoiese at 1.28. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 69.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Pistoiese vs Progresso FAQs

4 questions

What time is Pistoiese vs Progresso?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 28 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Pistoiese vs Progresso?

Pistoiese is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.28. The margin-adjusted share is about 69.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Pistoiese vs Progresso prediction, H2H and stats