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Poblense vs Numancia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Play-offsSun, 17 May 2026

Poblense

Sun, 17 May 202611:00

2 : 1

Full time

Numancia

Pre-match win probability

39.2%Poblense27.3%Draw33.4%Numancia

Our prediction

Poblense

Poblense is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.3
Confidence39.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Poblense 39.2%
  • Draw 27.3%
  • Numancia 33.4%

Season statistics

Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs · highlighted side is stronger

PoblenseNumancia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.073.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals16.2% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.9% · 2.3514.9% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.520% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X54.1%
X245.9%

Match result

Poblense2.3
Draw3.3
Numancia2.7

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance54.1%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance45.9%
Odds1.53

Poblense

Chance39.2%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance27.3%
Odds3.3

Numancia

Chance33.4%
Odds2.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Poblense at 2.3

PoblenseNumancia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall54%46%

Poblense vs Numancia: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs · Sun, 17 May 2026

Poblense meet Numancia in the Spain, Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs on 17 May 2026 at 11:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Poblense at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Poblense vs Numancia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Poblense vs Numancia?

Kickoff is 11:00 on 17 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Poblense vs Numancia?

Poblense is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Poblense vs Numancia prediction, H2H and stats