Get Premium

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Poland · I LigaSat, 14 Mar 2026

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

LWDDD

Sat, 14 Mar 202619:30

3 : 2

Full time

Polonia Warszawa

LWWDW

Pre-match win probability

37.2%Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki25.5%Draw37.2%Polonia Warszawa

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence37.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 37.2%
  • Draw 25.5%
  • Polonia Warszawa 37.2%

Season statistics

I Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPolonia Warszawa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.8% · 1.610.3% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X51.5%
X248.5%

Match result

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2.4
Draw3.5
Polonia Warszawa2.4

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance51.5%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance48.5%
Odds1.53

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Chance37.2%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance25.5%
Odds3.5

Polonia Warszawa

Chance37.2%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.44

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPolonia Warszawa
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall50%50%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa: prediction & preview

Poland · I Liga · Sat, 14 Mar 2026

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki meet Polonia Warszawa in the Poland, I Liga on 14 March 2026 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa?

Kickoff is 19:30 on 14 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa?

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa prediction, H2H and stats