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Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Poland · I LigaSat, 17 Oct 2026

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

WLWLW

Sat, 17 Oct 202614:30

0 : 1

Full time

Polonia Warszawa

WWWDL

Pre-match win probability

31.1%Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki26.3%Draw42.6%Polonia Warszawa

Our prediction

Draw · Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa listed tip from the board.

Odds3.4
Confidence42.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 31.1%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Polonia Warszawa 42.6%

Season statistics

I Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPolonia Warszawa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.5% · 2.25
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X45.6%
X254.4%

Match result

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2.88
Draw3.4
Polonia Warszawa2.1

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance45.6%
Odds1.62

X2

Chance54.4%
Odds1.36

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Chance31.1%
Odds2.88

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.4

Polonia Warszawa

Chance42.6%
Odds2.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.4

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPolonia Warszawa
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall42%58%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa: prediction & preview

Poland · I Liga · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki meet Polonia Warszawa in the Poland, I Liga on 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Polonia Warszawa at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa?

Kickoff is 14:30 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Warszawa?

Polonia Warszawa is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.