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Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Poland · I LigaMon, 6 Apr 2026

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

11th in table · 45 pts

WLWLL

Mon, 6 Apr 202618:30

1 : 2

Full time

Stal Mielec

14th in table · 36 pts

LLWLD

Pre-match win probability

42.1%Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki26.6%Draw31.2%Stal Mielec

Our prediction

Draw · Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec listed tip from the board.

Odds3.4
Confidence42.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 42.1%
  • Draw 26.6%
  • Stal Mielec 31.2%

Season statistics

I Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiStal Mielec
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
22.5
Wins
1110
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 25 OctRuch Chorzów2 – 0Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiL
  • 17 OctPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki0 – 1Polonia WarszawaL
  • 10 OctChrobry Głogów0 – 4Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiW
  • 2 OctRadomiak Radom7 – 2Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiL
  • 19 SeptPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2 – 0ŁKS ŁódźW
Stal Mielec2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 24 OctStal Mielec0 – 0Chrobry GłogówD
  • 17 OctMiedz Legnica3 – 0Stal MielecL
  • 11 OctStal Mielec2 – 1Warta PoznańW
  • 19 SeptLechia Gdansk7 – 1Stal MielecL
  • 14 SeptStal Mielec1 – 2NiecieczaL
H2H
Head to headPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1W · 0D · Stal Mielec 0W · 3 goals a game
  • 19 SeptStal Mielec1 – 2Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals14.8% · 1.610.3% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.5% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X54.4%
X245.6%

Match result

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2.15
Draw3.4
Stal Mielec2.9

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance54.4%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance45.6%
Odds1.62

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Chance42.1%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance26.6%
Odds3.4

Stal Mielec

Chance31.2%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.4

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiStal Mielec
Recent form55%45%
Attack55%45%
Defence67%33%
Goals model55%45%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall57%43%

Trends

Trend · I Liga

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · I Liga

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki conceded 2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · I Liga

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · I Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec: prediction & preview

Poland · I Liga · Mon, 6 Apr 2026

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki meet Stal Mielec in the Poland, I Liga on 6 April 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec FAQs

4 questions

What time is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 6 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.