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Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Poland · I LigaFri, 4 Sept 2026

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Fri, 4 Sept 202617:00

1 : 0

Full time

Warta Poznań

Pre-match win probability

35%Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki27%Draw38%Warta Poznań

Our prediction

Warta Poznań

Warta Poznań is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.35
Confidence38%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 35%
  • Draw 27%
  • Warta Poznań 38%

Season statistics

I Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.1% · 1.6711% · 2.15
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X48.5%
X251.5%

Match result

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2.55
Draw3.3
Warta Poznań2.35

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance48.5%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance51.5%
Odds1.44

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Chance35%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance27%
Odds3.3

Warta Poznań

Chance38%
Odds2.35

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Warta Poznań at 2.35

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWarta Poznań
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall48%52%

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań: prediction & preview

Poland · I Liga · Fri, 4 Sept 2026

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki meet Warta Poznań in the Poland, I Liga on 4 September 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Warta Poznań at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań FAQs

4 questions

What time is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 4 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań?

Warta Poznań is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 38%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznań prediction, H2H and stats