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Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Poland · I LigaSun, 20 Sept 2026

Pogoń Siedlce

DDWLW

Sun, 20 Sept 202613:30

2 : 1

Full time

Arka Gdynia

LDWDL

Pre-match win probability

26.1%Pogoń Siedlce27.3%Draw46.5%Arka Gdynia

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Pogoń Siedlce

Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence46.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pogoń Siedlce 26.1%
  • Draw 27.3%
  • Arka Gdynia 46.5%

Season statistics

I Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Pogoń SiedlceArka Gdynia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.1% · 11
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X41%
X259%

Match result

Pogoń Siedlce3.4
Draw3.25
Arka Gdynia1.91

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance41%
Odds1.8

X2

Chance59%
Odds1.25

Pogoń Siedlce

Chance26.1%
Odds3.4

Draw

Chance27.3%
Odds3.25

Arka Gdynia

Chance46.5%
Odds1.91

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.8

Pogoń SiedlceArka Gdynia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall36%64%

Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia: prediction & preview

Poland · I Liga · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Pogoń Siedlce meet Arka Gdynia in the Poland, I Liga on 20 September 2026 at 13:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Arka Gdynia at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia?

Kickoff is 13:30 on 20 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia?

Arka Gdynia is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia prediction, H2H and stats