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Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Poland · I LigaSat, 15 Aug 2026

Pogoń Siedlce

Sat, 15 Aug 202614:30

1 : 0

Full time

Polonia Warszawa

Pre-match win probability

22.9%Pogoń Siedlce24.8%Draw52.3%Polonia Warszawa

Our prediction

Polonia Warszawa

Polonia Warszawa is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.75
Confidence52.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pogoń Siedlce 22.9%
  • Draw 24.8%
  • Polonia Warszawa 52.3%

Season statistics

I Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Pogoń SiedlcePolonia Warszawa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals13.6% · 1.7311.3% · 2.08
3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X37.9%
X262.1%

Match result

Pogoń Siedlce4
Draw3.7
Polonia Warszawa1.75

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance37.9%
Odds2

X2

Chance62.1%
Odds1.22

Pogoń Siedlce

Chance22.9%
Odds4

Draw

Chance24.8%
Odds3.7

Polonia Warszawa

Chance52.3%
Odds1.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Polonia Warszawa at 1.75

Pogoń SiedlcePolonia Warszawa
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall30%70%

Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa: prediction & preview

Poland · I Liga · Sat, 15 Aug 2026

Pogoń Siedlce meet Polonia Warszawa in the Poland, I Liga on 15 August 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Polonia Warszawa at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa?

Kickoff is 14:30 on 15 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa?

Polonia Warszawa is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa prediction, H2H and stats