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Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Poland · I LigaFri, 15 May 2026

Pogoń Siedlce

LLWWL

Fri, 15 May 202617:00

1 : 3

Full time

Stal Mielec

DLLLW

Pre-match win probability

30.4%Pogoń Siedlce28.1%Draw41.5%Stal Mielec

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Pogoń Siedlce

Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence41.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pogoń Siedlce 30.4%
  • Draw 28.1%
  • Stal Mielec 41.5%

Season statistics

I Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Pogoń SiedlceStal Mielec

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X47.1%
X252.9%

Match result

Pogoń Siedlce3
Draw3.25
Stal Mielec2.2

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

Pogoń Siedlce

Chance30.4%
Odds3

Draw

Chance28.1%
Odds3.25

Stal Mielec

Chance41.5%
Odds2.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.53

Pogoń SiedlceStal Mielec
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall42%58%

Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec: prediction & preview

Poland · I Liga · Fri, 15 May 2026

Pogoń Siedlce meet Stal Mielec in the Poland, I Liga on 15 May 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Stal Mielec at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec FAQs

4 questions

What time is Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 15 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec?

Stal Mielec is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec prediction, H2H and stats