Poland vs Romania Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Poland

LDDL

Fri, 2 Oct 202619:45

6 : 0

Full time

Romania

LLWDL

Pre-match win probability

59.5%Poland22.8%Draw17.8%Romania

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Poland

Poland vs Romania listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence59.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Poland 59.5%
  • Draw 22.8%
  • Romania 17.8%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

PolandRomania

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710.1% · 2.35
3.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.5% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X65.8%
X234.2%

Match result

Poland1.57
Draw4.1
Romania5.25

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance65.8%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance34.2%
Odds2.25

Poland

Chance59.5%
Odds1.57

Draw

Chance22.8%
Odds4.1

Romania

Chance17.8%
Odds5.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.17

PolandRomania
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall77%23%

Poland vs Romania: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Fri, 2 Oct 2026

Poland meet Romania in the World, UEFA Nations League on 2 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 6–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Poland at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Poland vs Romania FAQs

4 questions

What time is Poland vs Romania?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 2 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Poland vs Romania?

Poland is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Poland vs Romania prediction, H2H and stats