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Poland vs Ukraine Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · FriendliesSun, 31 May 2026

Poland

Sun, 31 May 202616:30

0 : 2

Full time

Ukraine

Pre-match win probability

45%Poland27.7%Draw27.3%Ukraine

Our prediction

Poland

Poland is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2
Confidence45%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Poland 45%
  • Draw 27.7%
  • Ukraine 27.3%

Season statistics

Friendlies · highlighted side is stronger

PolandUkraine

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X56.2%
X243.8%

Match result

Poland2
Draw3.25
Ukraine3.3

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance56.2%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance43.8%
Odds1.67

Poland

Chance45%
Odds2

Draw

Chance27.7%
Odds3.25

Ukraine

Chance27.3%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Poland at 2

PolandUkraine
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall62%38%

Poland vs Ukraine: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies · Sun, 31 May 2026

Poland meet Ukraine in the World, Friendlies on 31 May 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Poland at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Poland vs Ukraine FAQs

4 questions

What time is Poland vs Ukraine?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 31 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Poland vs Ukraine?

Poland is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 45%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Poland vs Ukraine prediction, H2H and stats