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Police vs UPDF Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uganda · Premier LeagueWed, 29 Apr 2026

Police

Wed, 29 Apr 202614:00

2 : 0

Full time

UPDF

DWWLL

Pre-match win probability

48.2%Police27%Draw24.8%UPDF

Our prediction

Police

Police is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.85
Confidence48.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Police 48.2%
  • Draw 27%
  • UPDF 24.8%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

PoliceUPDF
Goals scored (avg)
–0.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–0.9

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Police0W 0D 0L in last 0
    UPDF2W 3D 4L in last 9
    • 27 OctUPDF0 – 1URAL
    • 18 OctUPDF0 – 2BULL
    • 15 OctExpress1 – 2UPDFW
    • 17 SeptUPDF1 – 0MaroonsW
    • 10 SeptPolice0 – 0UPDFD
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals50% · 1.950% · 1.9

    Double chance

    1X61.8%
    X238.2%

    Match result

    Police1.85
    Draw3.3
    UPDF3.6

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance61.8%
    Odds1.18

    X2

    Chance38.2%
    Odds1.91

    Police

    Chance48.2%
    Odds1.85

    Draw

    Chance27%
    Odds3.3

    UPDF

    Chance24.8%
    Odds3.6

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Police at 1.85

    PoliceUPDF
    Recent form10%90%
    Attack63%37%
    Defence32%68%
    Goals model63%37%
    Overall66%34%

    Trends

    Trend · Premier League

    UPDF scored 0.6 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Premier League

    UPDF conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Premier League

    Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

    Trend · Premier League

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

    Police vs UPDF: prediction & preview

    Uganda · Premier League · Wed, 29 Apr 2026

    Police meet UPDF in the Uganda, Premier League on 29 April 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Police at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Police vs UPDF FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Police vs UPDF?

    Kickoff is 14:00 on 29 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Police vs UPDF?

    Police is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.2%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.