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Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Poland · I LigaMon, 4 May 2026

Polonia Bytom

Mon, 4 May 202617:00

3 : 2

Full time

Polonia Warszawa

Pre-match win probability

36%Polonia Bytom26.5%Draw37.5%Polonia Warszawa

Our prediction

Polonia Warszawa

Polonia Warszawa is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.4
Confidence37.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Polonia Bytom 36%
  • Draw 26.5%
  • Polonia Warszawa 37.5%

Season statistics

I Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Polonia BytomPolonia Warszawa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.5% · 2.25
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X49%
X251%

Match result

Polonia Bytom2.5
Draw3.4
Polonia Warszawa2.4

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance49%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance51%
Odds1.44

Polonia Bytom

Chance36%
Odds2.5

Draw

Chance26.5%
Odds3.4

Polonia Warszawa

Chance37.5%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Polonia Warszawa at 2.4

Polonia BytomPolonia Warszawa
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall49%51%

Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa: prediction & preview

Poland · I Liga · Mon, 4 May 2026

Polonia Bytom meet Polonia Warszawa in the Poland, I Liga on 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Polonia Warszawa at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 4 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa?

Polonia Warszawa is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa prediction, H2H and stats