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Ponferradina vs Mérida AD Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sat, 4 Apr 2026

Ponferradina

DWDLW

Sat, 4 Apr 202620:00

4 : 1

Full time

Mérida AD

WDLDD

Pre-match win probability

44.1%Ponferradina30.1%Draw25.8%Mérida AD

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Ponferradina

Ponferradina vs Mérida AD listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence44.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ponferradina 44.1%
  • Draw 30.1%
  • Mérida AD 25.8%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

PonferradinaMérida AD

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.3% · 1.13.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals15.6% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
2.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.6% · 1.5
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.520% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X57%
X243%

Match result

Ponferradina2.05
Draw3
Mérida AD3.5

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance57%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance43%
Odds1.62

Ponferradina

Chance44.1%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance30.1%
Odds3

Mérida AD

Chance25.8%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.22

PonferradinaMérida AD
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall63%37%

Ponferradina vs Mérida AD: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sat, 4 Apr 2026

Ponferradina meet Mérida AD in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 4 April 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ponferradina at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ponferradina vs Mérida AD FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ponferradina vs Mérida AD?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 4 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ponferradina vs Mérida AD?

Ponferradina is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Ponferradina vs Mérida AD prediction, H2H and stats