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Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Paulista - A1Mon, 16 Feb 2026

Ponte Preta

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Mon, 16 Feb 202600:30

1 : 2

Full time

Sao Paulo

WWDWW

Pre-match win probability

10.7%Ponte Preta19.2%Draw70.1%Sao Paulo

Our prediction

Away · Ponte Preta

Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.3
Confidence70.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ponte Preta 10.7%
  • Draw 19.2%
  • Sao Paulo 70.1%

Season statistics

Paulista - A1 · highlighted side is stronger

Ponte PretaSao Paulo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes37.5%
No62.5%

Double chance

1X24.8%
X275.2%

Match result

Ponte Preta8.5
Draw4.75
Sao Paulo1.3

Both teams to score

Yes37.5% · 2.5
No62.5% · 1.5

1X

Chance24.8%
Odds3.25

X2

Chance75.2%
Odds1.07

Ponte Preta

Chance10.7%
Odds8.5

Draw

Chance19.2%
Odds4.75

Sao Paulo

Chance70.1%
Odds1.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.3

Ponte PretaSao Paulo
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall13%87%

Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo: prediction & preview

Brazil · Paulista - A1 · Mon, 16 Feb 2026

Ponte Preta meet Sao Paulo in the Brazil, Paulista - A1 on 16 February 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sao Paulo at 1.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 70.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 16 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo?

Sao Paulo is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 70.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo prediction, H2H and stats