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Pontevedra vs Lugo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sat, 21 Feb 2026

Pontevedra

Sat, 21 Feb 202618:30

1 : 1

Full time

Lugo

Pre-match win probability

42.7%Pontevedra30.9%Draw26.4%Lugo

Our prediction

Pontevedra

Pontevedra is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.1
Confidence42.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pontevedra 42.7%
  • Draw 30.9%
  • Lugo 26.4%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

PontevedraLugo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21% · 1.113.9% · 6
1.5 goals15.2% · 1.539.8% · 2.38
2.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.4% · 1.14

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X56.1%
X243.9%

Match result

Pontevedra2.1
Draw2.9
Lugo3.4

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance56.1%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance43.9%
Odds1.6

Pontevedra

Chance42.7%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance30.9%
Odds2.9

Lugo

Chance26.4%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Pontevedra at 2.1

PontevedraLugo
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall62%38%

Pontevedra vs Lugo: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sat, 21 Feb 2026

Pontevedra meet Lugo in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 21 February 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Pontevedra at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Pontevedra vs Lugo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Pontevedra vs Lugo?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 21 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Pontevedra vs Lugo?

Pontevedra is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.62 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Pontevedra vs Lugo prediction, H2H and stats