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Port Vale vs Bristol City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · FA CupTue, 3 Mar 2026

Port Vale

Tue, 3 Mar 202620:45

1 : 0

Full time

Bristol City

WDLLD

Pre-match win probability

21.6%Port Vale24.9%Draw53.5%Bristol City

Our prediction

Bristol City

Bristol City is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.75
Confidence53.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Port Vale 21.6%
  • Draw 24.9%
  • Bristol City 53.5%

Season statistics

FA Cup · highlighted side is stronger

Port ValeBristol City
Goals scored (avg)
–1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Port Vale0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Bristol City4W 2D 4L in last 10
    • 24 OctStoke City0 – 0Bristol CityD
    • 17 OctBristol City0 – 1Sheffield UtdL
    • 13 OctBristol City0 – 1BlackburnL
    • 10 OctCharlton1 – 1Bristol CityD
    • 3 OctCrystal Palace0 – 2Bristol CityW
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
    1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
    2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
    3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

    Both teams to score

    Yes50%
    No50%

    Double chance

    1X37.5%
    X262.5%

    Match result

    Port Vale4.33
    Draw3.75
    Bristol City1.75

    Both teams to score

    Yes50% · 1.91
    No50% · 1.91

    1X

    Chance37.5%
    Odds2

    X2

    Chance62.5%
    Odds1.2

    Port Vale

    Chance21.6%
    Odds4.33

    Draw

    Chance24.9%
    Odds3.75

    Bristol City

    Chance53.5%
    Odds1.75

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Bristol City at 1.75

    Port ValeBristol City
    Recent form7%93%
    Attack50%50%
    Defence33%67%
    Goals model50%50%
    Overall29%71%

    Trends

    Trend · FA Cup

    Bristol City scored 1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · FA Cup

    Bristol City conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · FA Cup

    Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

    Trend · FA Cup

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

    Port Vale vs Bristol City: prediction & preview

    England · FA Cup · Tue, 3 Mar 2026

    Port Vale meet Bristol City in the England, FA Cup on 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bristol City at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Port Vale vs Bristol City FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Port Vale vs Bristol City?

    Kickoff is 20:45 on 3 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Port Vale vs Bristol City?

    Bristol City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.