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Port Vale vs Sunderland Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · FA CupSun, 8 Mar 2026

Port Vale

DDWDL

Sun, 8 Mar 202614:30

1 : 0

Full time

Sunderland

WDLWL

Pre-match win probability

13.4%Port Vale21.7%Draw64.9%Sunderland

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Port Vale

Port Vale vs Sunderland listed tip from the board.

Odds2.75
Confidence64.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Port Vale 13.4%
  • Draw 21.7%
  • Sunderland 64.9%

Season statistics

FA Cup · highlighted side is stronger

Port ValeSunderland

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.4% · 1.9112.4% · 1.91
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X28.6%
X271.4%

Match result

Port Vale7
Draw4.33
Sunderland1.45

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance28.6%
Odds2.75

X2

Chance71.4%
Odds1.1

Port Vale

Chance13.4%
Odds7

Draw

Chance21.7%
Odds4.33

Sunderland

Chance64.9%
Odds1.45

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 2.75

Port ValeSunderland
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall17%83%

Port Vale vs Sunderland: prediction & preview

England · FA Cup · Sun, 8 Mar 2026

Port Vale meet Sunderland in the England, FA Cup on 8 March 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sunderland at 1.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 64.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Port Vale vs Sunderland FAQs

4 questions

What time is Port Vale vs Sunderland?

Kickoff is 14:30 on 8 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Port Vale vs Sunderland?

Sunderland is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 64.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Port Vale vs Sunderland prediction, H2H and stats