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Portimonense vs Tondela Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSat, 12 Sept 2026

Portimonense

Sat, 12 Sept 202611:00

0 : 2

Full time

Tondela

Pre-match win probability

31.2%Portimonense29%Draw39.9%Tondela

Our prediction

Tondela

Tondela is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence39.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Portimonense 31.2%
  • Draw 29%
  • Tondela 39.9%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

PortimonenseTondela

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals11% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.8% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X46.4%
X253.6%

Match result

Portimonense2.88
Draw3.1
Tondela2.25

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance46.4%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance53.6%
Odds1.36

Portimonense

Chance31.2%
Odds2.88

Draw

Chance29%
Odds3.1

Tondela

Chance39.9%
Odds2.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Tondela at 2.25

PortimonenseTondela
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall44%56%

Portimonense vs Tondela: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Portimonense meet Tondela in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 12 September 2026 at 11:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tondela at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Portimonense vs Tondela FAQs

4 questions

What time is Portimonense vs Tondela?

Kickoff is 11:00 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Portimonense vs Tondela?

Tondela is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Portimonense vs Tondela prediction, H2H and stats