Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipMon, 16 Mar 2026

Portsmouth

LDLLW

Mon, 16 Mar 202621:00

0 : 1

Full time

Derby

LWWLL

Pre-match win probability

42.8%Portsmouth29.4%Draw27.7%Derby

Our prediction

Draw · Portsmouth

Portsmouth vs Derby listed tip from the board.

Odds3.2
Confidence42.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Portsmouth 42.8%
  • Draw 29.4%
  • Derby 27.7%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

PortsmouthDerby

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
1.5 goals17% · 1.47.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.3% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X56.2%
X243.8%

Match result

Portsmouth2.2
Draw3.2
Derby3.4

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance56.2%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance43.8%
Odds1.67

Portsmouth

Chance42.8%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance29.4%
Odds3.2

Derby

Chance27.7%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.2

PortsmouthDerby
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall61%39%

Portsmouth vs Derby: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Mon, 16 Mar 2026

Portsmouth meet Derby in the England, Championship on 16 March 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Portsmouth at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Portsmouth vs Derby FAQs

4 questions

What time is Portsmouth vs Derby?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 16 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Portsmouth vs Derby?

Portsmouth is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Portsmouth vs Derby prediction, H2H and stats