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Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipTue, 1 Sept 2026

Portsmouth

LWLLD

Tue, 1 Sept 202619:45

0 : 2

Full time

Derby

LDLLD

Pre-match win probability

46.3%Portsmouth28%Draw25.7%Derby

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Portsmouth

Portsmouth vs Derby listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence46.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Portsmouth 46.3%
  • Draw 28%
  • Derby 25.7%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

PortsmouthDerby

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.3% · 1.36.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.3% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X59%
X241%

Match result

Portsmouth2
Draw3.3
Derby3.6

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance59%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance41%
Odds1.8

Portsmouth

Chance46.3%
Odds2

Draw

Chance28%
Odds3.3

Derby

Chance25.7%
Odds3.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.8

PortsmouthDerby
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall64%36%

Portsmouth vs Derby: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Tue, 1 Sept 2026

Portsmouth meet Derby in the England, Championship on 1 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Portsmouth at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Portsmouth vs Derby FAQs

4 questions

What time is Portsmouth vs Derby?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 1 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Portsmouth vs Derby?

Portsmouth is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Portsmouth vs Derby prediction, H2H and stats