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Portugal vs Croatia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · World CupFri, 3 Jul 2026

Portugal

DWDWW

Fri, 3 Jul 202600:00

2 : 1

Full time

Croatia

WWLWL

Pre-match win probability

56.7%Portugal25.3%Draw18%Croatia

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Portugal

Portugal vs Croatia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence56.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Portugal 56.7%
  • Draw 25.3%
  • Croatia 18%

Season statistics

World Cup · highlighted side is stronger

PortugalCroatia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Double chance

1X63.7%
X236.3%

Match result

Portugal1.67
Draw3.75
Croatia5.25

Both teams to score

Yes54.7% · 1.7
No45.3% · 2.05

1X

Chance63.7%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance36.3%
Odds2.05

Portugal

Chance56.7%
Odds1.67

Draw

Chance25.3%
Odds3.75

Croatia

Chance18%
Odds5.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.17

PortugalCroatia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall76%24%

Portugal vs Croatia: prediction & preview

World · World Cup · Fri, 3 Jul 2026

Portugal meet Croatia in the World, World Cup on 3 July 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Portugal at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Portugal vs Croatia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Portugal vs Croatia?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 3 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Portugal vs Croatia?

Portugal is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 56.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Portugal vs Croatia prediction, H2H and stats