Portugal vs Wales Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal

LWDWD

Thu, 24 Sept 202619:45

1 : 0

Full time

Wales

LDD

Pre-match win probability

82.6%Portugal11.1%Draw6.3%Wales

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Portugal

Portugal vs Wales listed tip from the board.

Odds1.03
Confidence82.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Portugal 82.6%
  • Draw 11.1%
  • Wales 6.3%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

PortugalWales

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.5% · 1.010.9% · 26
1.5 goals21.5% · 1.13.4% · 7
2.5 goals17.8% · 1.337% · 3.4
3.5 goals13% · 1.8313% · 1.83

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X82.9%
X217.1%

Match result

Portugal1.14
Draw8.5
Wales15

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance82.9%
Odds1.03

X2

Chance17.1%
Odds5

Portugal

Chance82.6%
Odds1.14

Draw

Chance11.1%
Odds8.5

Wales

Chance6.3%
Odds15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.03

PortugalWales
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall93%7%

Portugal vs Wales: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Thu, 24 Sept 2026

Portugal meet Wales in the World, UEFA Nations League on 24 September 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Portugal at 1.14. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 82.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.33, about 71.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Portugal vs Wales FAQs

4 questions

What time is Portugal vs Wales?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 24 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Portugal vs Wales?

Portugal is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.14. The margin-adjusted share is about 82.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.33 and under 2.5 is 3.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Portugal vs Wales prediction, H2H and stats