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Portuguesa vs Marcílio Dias Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie DSat, 11 Jul 2026

Portuguesa

Sat, 11 Jul 202620:00

2 : 0

Full time

Marcílio Dias

Pre-match win probability

57.7%Portuguesa28%Draw14.3%Marcílio Dias

Our prediction

Portuguesa

Portuguesa is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.55
Confidence57.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Portuguesa 57.7%
  • Draw 28%
  • Marcílio Dias 14.3%

Season statistics

Serie D · highlighted side is stronger

PortuguesaMarcílio Dias

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.13.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals16.2% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.8% · 2.3815.2% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes35.5%
No64.5%

Double chance

1X69.6%
X230.4%

Match result

Portuguesa1.55
Draw3.2
Marcílio Dias6.25

Both teams to score

Yes35.5% · 2.62
No64.5% · 1.44

1X

Chance69.6%
Odds1.05

X2

Chance30.4%
Odds2.4

Portuguesa

Chance57.7%
Odds1.55

Draw

Chance28%
Odds3.2

Marcílio Dias

Chance14.3%
Odds6.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Portuguesa at 1.55

PortuguesaMarcílio Dias
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall80%20%

Portuguesa vs Marcílio Dias: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie D · Sat, 11 Jul 2026

Portuguesa meet Marcílio Dias in the Brazil, Serie D on 11 July 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Portuguesa at 1.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Portuguesa vs Marcílio Dias FAQs

4 questions

What time is Portuguesa vs Marcílio Dias?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 11 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Portuguesa vs Marcílio Dias?

Portuguesa is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.38 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Portuguesa vs Marcílio Dias prediction, H2H and stats