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Portuguesa vs Palmeiras Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Paulista - A1Sun, 11 Jan 2026

Portuguesa

Sun, 11 Jan 202600:30

0 : 1

Full time

Palmeiras

Pre-match win probability

17.8%Portuguesa28.3%Draw53.9%Palmeiras

Our prediction

Palmeiras

Palmeiras is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.73
Confidence53.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Portuguesa 17.8%
  • Draw 28.3%
  • Palmeiras 53.9%

Season statistics

Paulista - A1 · highlighted side is stronger

PortuguesaPalmeiras

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.072.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.4% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X36.3%
X263.7%

Match result

Portuguesa5.25
Draw3.3
Palmeiras1.73

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance36.3%
Odds2.05

X2

Chance63.7%
Odds1.17

Portuguesa

Chance17.8%
Odds5.25

Draw

Chance28.3%
Odds3.3

Palmeiras

Chance53.9%
Odds1.73

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Palmeiras at 1.73

PortuguesaPalmeiras
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall25%75%

Portuguesa vs Palmeiras: prediction & preview

Brazil · Paulista - A1 · Sun, 11 Jan 2026

Portuguesa meet Palmeiras in the Brazil, Paulista - A1 on 11 January 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Palmeiras at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Portuguesa vs Palmeiras FAQs

4 questions

What time is Portuguesa vs Palmeiras?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 11 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Portuguesa vs Palmeiras?

Palmeiras is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Portuguesa vs Palmeiras prediction, H2H and stats