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Pouso Alegre vs Itabirito Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Mineiro - 1Thu, 15 Jan 2026

Pouso Alegre

Thu, 15 Jan 202601:00

3 : 1

Full time

Itabirito

Pre-match win probability

45.3%Pouso Alegre30%Draw24.8%Itabirito

Our prediction

Pouso Alegre

Pouso Alegre is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.05
Confidence45.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Pouso Alegre 45.3%
  • Draw 30%
  • Itabirito 24.8%

Season statistics

Mineiro - 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Pouso AlegreItabirito

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.083.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals16.7% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X59%
X241%

Match result

Pouso Alegre2.05
Draw3.1
Itabirito3.75

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance59%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance41%
Odds1.8

Pouso Alegre

Chance45.3%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance30%
Odds3.1

Itabirito

Chance24.8%
Odds3.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Pouso Alegre at 2.05

Pouso AlegreItabirito
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall65%35%

Pouso Alegre vs Itabirito: prediction & preview

Brazil · Mineiro - 1 · Thu, 15 Jan 2026

Pouso Alegre meet Itabirito in the Brazil, Mineiro - 1 on 15 January 2026 at 01:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Pouso Alegre at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Pouso Alegre vs Itabirito FAQs

4 questions

What time is Pouso Alegre vs Itabirito?

Kickoff is 01:00 on 15 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Pouso Alegre vs Itabirito?

Pouso Alegre is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Pouso Alegre vs Itabirito prediction, H2H and stats