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Progreso vs CA River Plate Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Copa UruguayWed, 26 Aug 2026

Progreso

Wed, 26 Aug 202619:00

0 : 2

Full time

CA River Plate

Pre-match win probability

37.2%Progreso30.3%Draw32.5%CA River Plate

Our prediction

Progreso

Progreso is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.45
Confidence37.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Progreso 37.2%
  • Draw 30.3%
  • CA River Plate 32.5%

Season statistics

Copa Uruguay · highlighted side is stronger

ProgresoCA River Plate

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.3% · 1.13.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals16.7% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.2% · 2.314.6% · 1.6
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X52%
X248%

Match result

Progreso2.45
Draw3
CA River Plate2.8

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance52%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance48%
Odds1.44

Progreso

Chance37.2%
Odds2.45

Draw

Chance30.3%
Odds3

CA River Plate

Chance32.5%
Odds2.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Progreso at 2.45

ProgresoCA River Plate
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall53%47%

Progreso vs CA River Plate: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Copa Uruguay · Wed, 26 Aug 2026

Progreso meet CA River Plate in the Uruguay, Copa Uruguay on 26 August 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Progreso at 2.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Progreso vs CA River Plate FAQs

4 questions

What time is Progreso vs CA River Plate?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 26 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Progreso vs CA River Plate?

Progreso is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.3 and under 2.5 is 1.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Progreso vs CA River Plate prediction, H2H and stats