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Progreso vs Club Nacional Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Copa UruguayWed, 16 Sept 2026

Progreso

Wed, 16 Sept 202619:00

0 : 1

Full time

Club Nacional

Pre-match win probability

18.8%Progreso27.5%Draw53.6%Club Nacional

Our prediction

Club Nacional

Club Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.67
Confidence53.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Progreso 18.8%
  • Draw 27.5%
  • Club Nacional 53.6%

Season statistics

Copa Uruguay · highlighted side is stronger

ProgresoClub Nacional

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Progreso0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Club Nacional0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headProgreso 0W · 2D · Club Nacional 7W · 2.3 goals a game
      • 23 AugClub Nacional1 – 0Progreso
      • 2 AugClub Nacional2 – 1Progreso
      • 22 FebProgreso0 – 1Club Nacional
      • 23 JanClub Nacional1 – 1Progreso
      • 16 AugClub Nacional3 – 1Progreso
      • 24 MayClub Nacional1 – 0Progreso

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals21.7% · 1.083.3% · 7
      1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
      2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514% · 1.67
      3.5 goals6.2% · 3.7518.7% · 1.25

      Both teams to score

      Yes42.4%
      No57.6%

      Double chance

      1X34.8%
      X265.2%

      Match result

      Progreso4.75
      Draw3.25
      Club Nacional1.67

      Both teams to score

      Yes42.4% · 2.2
      No57.6% · 1.62

      1X

      Chance34.8%
      Odds2.1

      X2

      Chance65.2%
      Odds1.12

      Progreso

      Chance18.8%
      Odds4.75

      Draw

      Chance27.5%
      Odds3.25

      Club Nacional

      Chance53.6%
      Odds1.67

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Club Nacional at 1.67

      ProgresoClub Nacional
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head11%89%
      Overall26%74%

      Progreso vs Club Nacional: prediction & preview

      Uruguay · Copa Uruguay · Wed, 16 Sept 2026

      Progreso meet Club Nacional in the Uruguay, Copa Uruguay on 16 September 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Club Nacional at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Progreso vs Club Nacional FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Progreso vs Club Nacional?

      Kickoff is 19:00 on 16 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Progreso vs Club Nacional?

      Club Nacional is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.6%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.