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Progreso vs Danubio Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSat, 29 Aug 2026

Progreso

15th in table · 35 pts

WLDWW

Sat, 29 Aug 202615:00

1 : 0

Full time

Danubio

16th in table · 32 pts

WLWWL

Pre-match win probability

30.7%Progreso30.7%Draw38.7%Danubio

Our prediction

Away · Progreso

Progreso vs Danubio listed tip from the board.

Odds2.3
Confidence38.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Progreso 30.7%
  • Draw 30.7%
  • Danubio 38.7%

Season statistics

Primera División · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ProgresoDanubio
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.2
Wins
106
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Progreso5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 25 OctWanderers0 – 1ProgresoW
  • 17 OctProgreso2 – 0JuventudW
  • 10 OctPenarol1 – 1ProgresoD
  • 3 OctLiverpool Montevideo3 – 2ProgresoL
  • 26 SeptProgreso2 – 1Racing MontevideoW
Danubio3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 24 OctDeportivo Maldonado2 – 1DanubioL
  • 18 OctDanubio1 – 0Central EspanolW
  • 15 OctCentral Espanol0 – 6DanubioW
  • 9 OctAtletico Torque1 – 0DanubioL
  • 4 OctDanubio2 – 1Cerro LargoW
H2H
Head to headProgreso 3W · 5D · Danubio 1W · 2 goals a game
  • 30 MayDanubio1 – 2Progreso
  • 28 FebDanubio2 – 2Progreso
  • 24 AugProgreso1 – 0Danubio
  • 31 MayProgreso0 – 1Danubio
  • 23 FebDanubio1 – 1Progreso
  • 12 OctProgreso0 – 0Danubio

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.3% · 1.13.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.8% · 2.415.3% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.18

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X47.1%
X252.9%

Match result

Progreso2.9
Draw2.9
Danubio2.3

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

Progreso

Chance30.7%
Odds2.9

Draw

Chance30.7%
Odds2.9

Danubio

Chance38.7%
Odds2.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.3

ProgresoDanubio
Recent form57%43%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Head-to-head61%39%
Overall44%56%

Trends

Trend · Primera División

Progreso scored 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera División

Progreso conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera División

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Primera División

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Progreso vs Danubio: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 29 Aug 2026

Progreso meet Danubio in the Uruguay, Primera División on 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Danubio at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Progreso vs Danubio FAQs

4 questions

What time is Progreso vs Danubio?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 29 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Progreso vs Danubio?

Danubio is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.4 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.