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Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSat, 18 Jul 2026

Progreso

Sat, 18 Jul 202616:30

1 : 0

Full time

Deportivo Maldonado

Pre-match win probability

23.9%Progreso28.3%Draw47.8%Deportivo Maldonado

Our prediction

Deportivo Maldonado

Deportivo Maldonado is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.95
Confidence47.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Progreso 23.9%
  • Draw 28.3%
  • Deportivo Maldonado 47.8%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.4% · 2.0813.7% · 1.73
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X39%
X261%

Match result

Progreso3.9
Draw3.3
Deportivo Maldonado1.95

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance39%
Odds1.91

X2

Chance61%
Odds1.22

Progreso

Chance23.9%
Odds3.9

Draw

Chance28.3%
Odds3.3

Deportivo Maldonado

Chance47.8%
Odds1.95

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Deportivo Maldonado at 1.95

ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall33%67%

Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 18 Jul 2026

Progreso meet Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay, Primera División on 18 July 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Deportivo Maldonado at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado FAQs

4 questions

What time is Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 18 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Deportivo Maldonado is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.08 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado prediction, H2H and stats