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Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSun, 16 Aug 2026

Progreso

WLDWW

Sun, 16 Aug 202615:00

0 : 2

Full time

Deportivo Maldonado

DDLDW

Pre-match win probability

23%Progreso28.8%Draw48.2%Deportivo Maldonado

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Progreso

Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence48.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Progreso 23%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Deportivo Maldonado 48.2%

Season statistics

Primera División · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
Goals scored (avg)
1.3–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.2–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Progreso5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 25 OctWanderers0 – 1ProgresoW
  • 17 OctProgreso2 – 0JuventudW
  • 10 OctPenarol1 – 1ProgresoD
  • 3 OctLiverpool Montevideo3 – 2ProgresoL
  • 26 SeptProgreso2 – 1Racing MontevideoW
Deportivo Maldonado0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
    1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
    2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
    3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.8% · 1.25

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5%
    No51.5%

    Double chance

    1X40%
    X260%

    Match result

    Progreso4
    Draw3.2
    Deportivo Maldonado1.91

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5% · 1.91
    No51.5% · 1.8

    1X

    Chance40%
    Odds1.83

    X2

    Chance60%
    Odds1.22

    Progreso

    Chance23%
    Odds4

    Draw

    Chance28.8%
    Odds3.2

    Deportivo Maldonado

    Chance48.2%
    Odds1.91

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.22

    ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
    Recent form94%6%
    Attack57%43%
    Defence64%36%
    Goals model57%43%
    Overall32%68%

    Trends

    Trend · Primera División

    Progreso scored 1.3 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera División

    Progreso conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera División

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · Primera División

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

    Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado: prediction & preview

    Uruguay · Primera División · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

    Progreso meet Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay, Primera División on 16 August 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Deportivo Maldonado at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado?

    Kickoff is 15:00 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado?

    Deportivo Maldonado is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.2%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

    Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado prediction, H2H and stats