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Progreso vs Juventud Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSat, 17 Oct 2026

Progreso

Sat, 17 Oct 202614:00

2 : 0

Full time

Juventud

DDWWD

Pre-match win probability

27.8%Progreso27.8%Draw44.4%Juventud

Our prediction

Juventud

Juventud is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2
Confidence44.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Progreso 27.8%
  • Draw 27.8%
  • Juventud 44.4%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

ProgresoJuventud
Goals scored (avg)
–1.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–0.4

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Progreso0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Juventud4W 5D 0L in last 9
    • 24 OctJuventud0 – 0PenarolD
    • 11 OctJuventud2 – 0Racing MontevideoW
    • 8 OctPlaza Colonia0 – 1JuventudW
    • 4 OctBoston River0 – 0JuventudD
    • 27 SeptJuventud0 – 0CerroD
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
    1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
    2.5 goals12.5% · 1.912.5% · 1.9
    3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

    Both teams to score

    Yes55.7%
    No44.3%

    Double chance

    1X44.3%
    X255.7%

    Match result

    Progreso3.2
    Draw3.2
    Juventud2

    Both teams to score

    Yes55.7% · 1.67
    No44.3% · 2.1

    1X

    Chance44.3%
    Odds1.67

    X2

    Chance55.7%
    Odds1.33

    Progreso

    Chance27.8%
    Odds3.2

    Draw

    Chance27.8%
    Odds3.2

    Juventud

    Chance44.4%
    Odds2

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Juventud at 2

    ProgresoJuventud
    Recent form6%94%
    Attack43%57%
    Defence28%72%
    Goals model43%57%
    Overall39%61%

    Trends

    Trend · Primera División

    Juventud scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primera División

    Juventud conceded 0.4 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primera División

    Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · Primera División

    Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 9.

    Progreso vs Juventud: prediction & preview

    Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

    Progreso meet Juventud in the Uruguay, Primera División on 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Juventud at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Progreso vs Juventud FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Progreso vs Juventud?

    Kickoff is 14:00 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Progreso vs Juventud?

    Juventud is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.4%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

    Progreso vs Juventud prediction, H2H and stats