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Progreso vs Liverpool Montevideo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónTue, 31 Mar 2026

Progreso

WLDWW

Tue, 31 Mar 202615:00

3 : 3

Full time

Liverpool Montevideo

DLDWW

Pre-match win probability

26.3%Progreso28.9%Draw44.8%Liverpool Montevideo

Our prediction

X2 · Progreso

Progreso vs Liverpool Montevideo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence44.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Progreso 26.3%
  • Draw 28.9%
  • Liverpool Montevideo 44.8%

Season statistics

Primera División · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ProgresoLiverpool Montevideo
Goals scored (avg)
1.3–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.2–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Progreso5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 25 OctWanderers0 – 1ProgresoW
  • 17 OctProgreso2 – 0JuventudW
  • 10 OctPenarol1 – 1ProgresoD
  • 3 OctLiverpool Montevideo3 – 2ProgresoL
  • 26 SeptProgreso2 – 1Racing MontevideoW
Liverpool Montevideo0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headProgreso 2W · 1D · Liverpool Montevideo 6W · 3.1 goals a game
    • 3 OctLiverpool Montevideo3 – 2Progreso
    • 26 OctLiverpool Montevideo3 – 1Progreso
    • 27 AprProgreso0 – 2Liverpool Montevideo
    • 3 NovLiverpool Montevideo2 – 1Progreso
    • 28 AprProgreso2 – 1Liverpool Montevideo
    • 3 OctLiverpool Montevideo0 – 1Progreso

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
    1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
    2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.3% · 1.65
    3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5%
    No51.5%

    Double chance

    1X43.4%
    X256.6%

    Match result

    Progreso3.4
    Draw3.1
    Liverpool Montevideo2

    Both teams to score

    Yes48.5% · 1.91
    No51.5% · 1.8

    1X

    Chance43.4%
    Odds1.67

    X2

    Chance56.6%
    Odds1.28

    Progreso

    Chance26.3%
    Odds3.4

    Draw

    Chance28.9%
    Odds3.1

    Liverpool Montevideo

    Chance44.8%
    Odds2

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: X2 at 1.28

    ProgresoLiverpool Montevideo
    Recent form94%6%
    Attack57%43%
    Defence64%36%
    Goals model57%43%
    Head-to-head28%72%
    Overall37%63%

    Trends

    Trend · Primera División

    Progreso scored 1.3 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera División

    Progreso conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primera División

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · Primera División

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

    Progreso vs Liverpool Montevideo: prediction & preview

    Uruguay · Primera División · Tue, 31 Mar 2026

    Progreso meet Liverpool Montevideo in the Uruguay, Primera División on 31 March 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–3.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Liverpool Montevideo at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Progreso vs Liverpool Montevideo FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Progreso vs Liverpool Montevideo?

    Kickoff is 15:00 on 31 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Progreso vs Liverpool Montevideo?

    Liverpool Montevideo is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.8%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.