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Progreso vs Racing Montevideo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSat, 26 Sept 2026

Progreso

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Sat, 26 Sept 202615:00

2 : 1

Full time

Racing Montevideo

DLWLL

Pre-match win probability

22.8%Progreso28.7%Draw48.6%Racing Montevideo

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Progreso

Progreso vs Racing Montevideo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence48.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Progreso 22.8%
  • Draw 28.7%
  • Racing Montevideo 48.6%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

ProgresoRacing Montevideo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.6% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X40.4%
X259.6%

Match result

Progreso3.9
Draw3.1
Racing Montevideo1.83

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance40.4%
Odds1.8

X2

Chance59.6%
Odds1.22

Progreso

Chance22.8%
Odds3.9

Draw

Chance28.7%
Odds3.1

Racing Montevideo

Chance48.6%
Odds1.83

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.22

ProgresoRacing Montevideo
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall32%68%

Progreso vs Racing Montevideo: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 26 Sept 2026

Progreso meet Racing Montevideo in the Uruguay, Primera División on 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Racing Montevideo at 1.83. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Progreso vs Racing Montevideo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Progreso vs Racing Montevideo?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 26 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Progreso vs Racing Montevideo?

Racing Montevideo is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.83. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Progreso vs Racing Montevideo prediction, H2H and stats