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Progreso vs Wanderers Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónSat, 18 Apr 2026

Progreso

LLDDL

Sat, 18 Apr 202617:00

2 : 1

Full time

Wanderers

LLWLW

Pre-match win probability

35.1%Progreso30.8%Draw34.1%Wanderers

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Progreso

Progreso vs Wanderers listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence35.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Progreso 35.1%
  • Draw 30.8%
  • Wanderers 34.1%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

ProgresoWanderers

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X50.7%
X249.3%

Match result

Progreso2.55
Draw2.9
Wanderers2.62

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance50.7%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance49.3%
Odds1.44

Progreso

Chance35.1%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance30.8%
Odds2.9

Wanderers

Chance34.1%
Odds2.62

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.44

ProgresoWanderers
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall51%49%

Progreso vs Wanderers: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sat, 18 Apr 2026

Progreso meet Wanderers in the Uruguay, Primera División on 18 April 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Progreso at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Progreso vs Wanderers FAQs

4 questions

What time is Progreso vs Wanderers?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 18 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Progreso vs Wanderers?

Progreso is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Progreso vs Wanderers prediction, H2H and stats