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Puebla vs Leon Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSat, 10 Oct 2026

Puebla

LDLWL

Sat, 10 Oct 202602:00

1 : 1

Full time

Leon

WDWLW

Pre-match win probability

31.8%Puebla28.1%Draw40.1%Leon

Our prediction

Away · Puebla

Puebla vs Leon listed tip from the board.

Odds2.38
Confidence40.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Puebla 31.8%
  • Draw 28.1%
  • Leon 40.1%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

PueblaLeon

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Double chance

1X48.3%
X251.7%

Match result

Puebla3
Draw3.4
Leon2.38

Both teams to score

Yes54.7% · 1.7
No45.3% · 2.05

1X

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

Puebla

Chance31.8%
Odds3

Draw

Chance28.1%
Odds3.4

Leon

Chance40.1%
Odds2.38

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.38

PueblaLeon
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall44%56%

Puebla vs Leon: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Puebla meet Leon in the Mexico, Liga MX on 10 October 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leon at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Puebla vs Leon FAQs

4 questions

What time is Puebla vs Leon?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Puebla vs Leon?

Leon is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Puebla vs Leon prediction, H2H and stats